Fortaleza vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
BJC
0 - 1
FOR
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 2
COR
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BOG
2 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
REA
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 0
REA
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
REA
0 - 2
AFC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 1
REA
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
REA
0 - 1
CAL
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |