Fortaleza vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 0
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
REA
3 - 1
CUC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
PAS
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUC
3 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |