Fortaleza vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
LEO
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
FOR
15%
27%
58%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BOG
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 2
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
BJC
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LLA
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |