Fortaleza vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
HUI
1 - 2
FOR
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOG
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
MIL
3 - 0
FOR
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
FOR
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
CUC
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
ORS
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
CUC
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
HUI
2 - 3
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 2
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |