Fortaleza vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
RSC
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 0
FOR
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAT
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 3
LEO
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
JAG
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +1 |