Primera B Colombia - Gran Final Final
Global 2-3
Fortaleza vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
CUC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BJC
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
FOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PAT
4 - 0
TFC
66%
24%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
PAT
31%
30%
39%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 1
PAT
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |