Fortaleza vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
CUC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
REA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
FOR
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
CHI
44%
25%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 1
NAC
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAT
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 0
AME
41%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 1
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 1
PAT
36%
30%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |