Fortaleza vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
LLA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
COR
2 - 0
PAT
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 0
UNI
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
PAT
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |