Fortaleza vs Patriotas Boyacá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
0 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOG
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Patriotas Boyacá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
REA
1 - 1
PAT
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
PAT
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 1
UNI
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALI
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
PAT
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |