Fortaleza vs Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 2
UNI
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 1
PAC
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
PAC
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
RIO
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |