Fortaleza vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 3
FOR
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
BOG
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
64%
21%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 1
CHI
22%
26%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 2
ORS
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 2
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOG
3 - 0
ORS
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |