Fortaleza vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
REA
4 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FOR
61%
24%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ORS
3 - 1
BAR
39%
32%
29%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
ORS
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
ORS
0 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 0
ORS
46%
31%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 0
RSC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |