Fortaleza vs Orsomarso SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CUC
2 - 2
FOR
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
FOR
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 2
QUI
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Orsomarso SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 1
AFC
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
ORS
0 - 0
CUC
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 0
ORS
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ORS
0 - 2
REA
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 1
ORS
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |