Fortaleza vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RSC
2 - 2
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HUI
0 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
PER
2 - 2
ONC
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ONC
4 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 0
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |