Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 4
FOR
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 2
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LLA
2 - 0
BOG
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
LLA
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
LLA
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 2
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 2
LLA
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |