Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 1
FOR
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
TFC
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 1
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 1
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ORS
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TFC
4 - 2
LLA
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
RSC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 1
LLA
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ORS
2 - 3
LLA
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 0
REA
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |