Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CUC
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 4
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
LLA
35%
24%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |