Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
CUC
49%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
LEO
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 0
LLA
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
3 - 1
UNI
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 1
LLA
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |