Fortaleza vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BJC
1 - 1
FOR
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
FOR
15%
27%
58%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BOG
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
PAT
0 - 2
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
RSC
2 - 2
FOR
18%
28%
54%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CUC
2 - 2
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 2
RSC
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 0
BAR
46%
28%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |