Fortaleza vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
53.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
HUI
3 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SFE
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ONC
3 - 1
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
UNI
43%
24%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 0
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 3
JUN
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JUN
4 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
SFE
2 - 1
JUN
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |