Fortaleza vs Águilas Doradas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAS
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFE
4 - 0
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
PAT
30%
31%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
AGU
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |