Fortaleza vs Tigres FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
COR
3 - 2
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
PER
6 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 0
LLA
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RSC
2 - 2
TFC
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 1
ORS
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
TFC
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |