Fortaleza vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
FOR
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAT
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
FOR
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
JUN
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 1
PAS
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
EQU
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 0
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 3
EQU
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |