Fortaleza vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
FOR
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
MIL
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CAL
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
EQU
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ENV
1 - 0
AGU
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SFE
0 - 1
ENV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 0
ENV
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 0
HUI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
ENV
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |