Copa Colombia 1/64
Global 3-4
Fortaleza vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
CUC
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
25%
26%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
REA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
FOR
61%
23%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
29%
24%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |