Fortaleza vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RSC
2 - 2
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
HUI
0 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2013 |
PER
2 - 2
ONC
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
LLA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
QUI
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 4
PER
32%
28%
39%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
HUI
1 - 1
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |