Fortaleza vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
FOR
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 1
PER
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
PER
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
PER
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |