Fortaleza vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
UNI
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 0
PER
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 0
PER
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
AGU
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 3
PER
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |