Fortaleza vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
FOR
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUN
2 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ONC
4 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
PAS
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
SFE
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |