Fortaleza vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
PAS
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
4 - 3
FOR
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 1
FOR
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ENV
32%
29%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
MIL
3 - 1
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOL
20%
25%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |