Fortaleza vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 2
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 1
TOL
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |