Fortaleza vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 2
TFC
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
RSC
3 - 1
FOR
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
ORS
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
REA
4 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2018 |
QUI
0 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 0
BAR
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 1
QUI
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
PER
3 - 0
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
3 - 3
QUI
23%
27%
49%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |