Fortaleza vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
REA
1 - 1
FOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
BUC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
LEO
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 2
QUI
18%
25%
57%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |