Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 3
FOR
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
RSC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAR
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
QUI
2 - 1
AFC
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 3
PER
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 3
TFC
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RSC
2 - 0
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |