Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
BOG
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
TFC
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PER
3 - 2
AFC
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
UNI
30%
26%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
AME
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |