Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 2
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 0
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 3
LLA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 0
RSC
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
RIO
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 3
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |