Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 2-0
Fortaleza vs Internacional de Palmira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 1
BJC
72%
19%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
FOR
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
QUI
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
RSC
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
PAS
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
ENV
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |