Fortaleza vs Internacional de Palmira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 4
PAS
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
QUI
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Internacional de Palmira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COR
5 - 1
UNI
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 0
COR
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COR
4 - 0
BUC
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
COR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 0
COR
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |