Fortaleza vs Centauros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
6 - 1
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 4
RSC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
PAS
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
CEN
45%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 2
ACA
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
AGU
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |