Fortaleza vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
AFC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
LLA
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 4
PAT
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |