Fortaleza vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
LEO
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
SFE
21%
29%
50%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUN
6 - 0
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
JAG
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAL
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |