Fortaleza vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 3
FOR
19%
27%
53%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOR
56%
26%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
UNI
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SFE
1 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 1
CHI
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +2 |