Fortaleza vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 3
FOR
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 0
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
HUI
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
QUI
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
EQU
0 - 0
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 0
LLA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
2 - 1
BOG
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
PER
4 - 2
BOG
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 3
MIL
20%
24%
57%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | -1 |