Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 1
FOR
36%
30%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
AFC
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
MIL
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
FOR
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
HUI
36%
30%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAR
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
QUI
21%
30%
49%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
LEO
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |