Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
ORS
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
0 - 0
FOR
28%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 3
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
ORS
1 - 2
FOR
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
HUI
1 - 1
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
TFC
2 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
REA
2 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
TFC
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAR
27%
28%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BJC
1 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
30%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |