Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 2
FOR
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
RSC
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ORS
2 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
PER
17%
25%
58%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
QUI
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
TFC
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RSC
1 - 0
BAR
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |