Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TFC
4 - 1
FOR
18%
28%
55%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
TFC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PER
2 - 0
BAR
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
UNI
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
RSC
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |