Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 4
PAS
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
QUI
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAT
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
AFC
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
RSC
3 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PAS
0 - 0
BAR
70%
21%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |