Fortaleza vs Atlético Huila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 2
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEN
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Huila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
HUI
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HUI
3 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 3
HUI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
HUI
2 - 1
EQU
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
4 - 3
HUI
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |