Fortaleza vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
FOR
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 3
FOR
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
AME
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 3
MIL
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 0
LLA
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
PER
1 - 1
BUC
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BUC
1 - 0
RSC
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BUC
0 - 1
UNI
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
BUC
70%
18%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |